Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 0.130435 0.154407 0.181202 0.213322 0.250731 0.292871 0.343890
2025-01-05 0.092443 0.123080 0.161166 0.211776 0.277031 0.358074 0.466073
2025-01-12 0.068996 0.100963 0.144220 0.206571 0.293594 0.410103 0.577145
2025-01-19 0.053411 0.084694 0.130168 0.200329 0.304900 0.453809 0.680401
2025-01-26 0.045070 0.076597 0.125330 0.205003 0.330523 0.518739 0.819696
2025-02-02 0.038411 0.069521 0.120358 0.207905 0.352819 0.580284 0.960212
2025-02-09 0.032828 0.062998 0.114900 0.208660 0.371031 0.636706 1.098296
2025-02-16 0.028686 0.058127 0.111242 0.211509 0.392469 0.699956 1.253596
2025-02-23 0.025985 0.055363 0.110730 0.219536 0.423416 0.781882 1.448379
2025-03-02 0.021958 0.049244 0.103003 0.213039 0.427162 0.816744 1.564699
2025-03-09 0.019324 0.045456 0.099104 0.213110 0.442788 0.873938 1.726207
2025-03-16 0.016788 0.041388 0.093974 0.209892 0.451423 0.918744 1.868867
2025-03-23 0.015270 0.039378 0.092935 0.215175 0.478125 1.001584 2.094317
2025-03-30 0.013413 0.036230 0.088961 0.213673 0.490773 1.058537 2.275770
2025-04-06 0.011573 0.032750 0.083668 0.208437 0.494723 1.098278 2.426677
2025-04-13 0.009944 0.029470 0.078287 0.202145 0.495419 1.131113 2.566384
2025-04-20 0.009142 0.028228 0.077625 0.206859 0.521431 1.220064 2.832921
2025-04-27 0.008340 0.026821 0.076316 0.209786 0.543597 1.302794 3.093931
2025-05-04 0.007532 0.025230 0.074270 0.210548 0.560645 1.375765 3.340326
2025-05-11 0.006902 0.024042 0.073110 0.213421 0.583167 1.463332 3.627805
2025-05-18 0.006530 0.023579 0.073874 0.221516 0.619739 1.587037 4.009733
2025-05-25 0.005693 0.021436 0.069512 0.214964 0.617871 1.619396 4.180691
2025-06-01 0.005164 0.020205 0.067611 0.215036 0.633410 1.695335 4.462735